Forward Guidance

In this week's episode of Forward Guidance, the hosts analyze the Federal Reserve's recent dovish pivot, examining its implications on the economy and market reactions, with equities rallying and small caps leading the charge. They discuss the political dynamics at play, with a focus on how this shift affects different sectors, particularly in light of stronger growth, higher inflation, and the ongoing impact on labor markets.

In this video, experts analyze the implications of the United States' shifting energy strategies under Trump's administration, particularly regarding trade as a geopolitical tool against countries like Canada and India. They discuss how these developments could reshape global energy dynamics, the role of US shale production, and the complexities of managing relationships with major energy players like Russia and Saudi Arabia.

In this episode, Helen Thompson explores how energy and trade wars are reshaping global geopolitics, particularly examining the United States' strategic use of trade as a geopolitical weapon under the Trump administration. She discusses the implications of China's vulnerabilities and the evolving landscape of global energy dependence, revealing insights into the complexities of contemporary trade dynamics and international relations.

In this week's episode of "The Data Is Screaming Two-Speed Economy," financial analysts explore the contrasting dynamics of the U.S. economy, highlighting a recession on Main Street, while certain sectors thrive due to advancements in AI and technology. The discussion delves into inflation trends, job market disparities, and upcoming events that could further influence market sentiments, providing an in-depth analysis of the fiscal landscape.

In this episode, former Barclays CEO Bob Diamond and Atlas co-founder David Schamis discuss the rapid growth and innovative strategies of Hyperliquid, a groundbreaking cryptocurrency exchange that has entered the top 10 tokens in less than three years. They explore the launch of a new digital asset treasury company, designed to provide broader market access and capture the significant potential of Hyperliquid's unique token and business model.

In this week's Forward Guidance roundup, the hosts discuss the recent concerning job report as the labor market shows signs of weakness, leading to speculation about future Federal Reserve interest rate cuts amid fears of stagflation. The conversation also touches on the upcoming Digital Asset Summit and the potential impacts of tariff reviews on the economy, alongside insights on various investment strategies in the current market climate.

In this episode, Ben Kizemchuk introduces his innovative 4FS framework to analyze the current macroeconomic landscape, emphasizing the unique convergence of fiscal dominance, financial repression, passive flows, and fiat money. He explores how these elements are reshaping our financial ecosystem into a "stock market economy" while discussing the implications for investment strategies and economic growth, including insights into upcoming events like the Blockworks Digital Asset Summit.

In this weekly roundup, the hosts discuss the shifting dynamics in financial markets as summer comes to an end, highlighting potential breakouts in gold and rising long bond yields. They also explore strategies for positioning investments as volatility may increase in September, alongside insights on significant upcoming events in the cryptocurrency space.

In this insightful episode, Alfonso Peccatiello discusses the potential economic implications of Trump's proposed tariffs and their impact on U.S. monetary policy heading into 2026. He explores how these tariffs could slow economic growth and suggest a fiscal tightening, while also addressing the intricate relationship between government fiscal actions and the overall financial market dynamics.

In this insightful video, the discussion revolves around quantifying market froth and understanding systemic risk within the current financial landscape. The speaker explores various measures, including funding rates and the behavior of digital asset treasury companies (DATs), while highlighting the complexities of assessing risk both individually and collectively in the evolving market.

In this week's roundup, the discussion focuses on the implications of Fed Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming Jackson Hole speech, analyzing whether it could shift market dynamics amidst rising bond yields and inflation concerns. Experts weigh in on the potential outcomes, predictions for interest rates, and the broader economic context, hinting at significant market reactions in response to monetary policy signals.

In this insightful discussion, David Grider explores the evolution of credit markets within the crypto space and how they are transforming risk management strategies. He highlights the potential for diversified returns through innovative investment approaches, indicating that the upcoming digital asset treasury companies could significantly shape the future of financial markets.

In this video, the speaker analyzes the current economic landscape, discussing the potential volatility in markets and the interplay between interest rates and inflation. They argue that Trump has effectively positioned Jerome Powell as a scapegoat for any future market corrections, regardless of the Federal Reserve's decisions.

In this weekly roundup, the hosts discuss the potential for a significant market correction, citing rising inflation, extended positions by trend followers, and the unusual environment in which everything is at an all-time high. They emphasize the importance of maintaining cash reserves and being cautious as several indicators suggest that a 10-15% drawdown could occur soon.

In this video, experts discuss the complex impact of recent immigration trends on U.S. job data, highlighting the difficulties in accurately estimating population changes and how these shifts influence labor force participation and unemployment rates. They analyze the interplay between declining labor supply and demand, suggesting that while current conditions may appear stable, significant changes could emerge due to ongoing immigration policies and economic factors.

In this episode, economist Guy Berger discusses the recurring negative revisions in U.S. jobs reports, examining their implications and the complexities behind labor market data collection. He emphasizes the need for caution in interpreting job growth figures amidst shifting demographic factors and economic indicators, advocating for a nuanced understanding of employment trends.

In this video, we explore the potential implications of a U.S. court ruling that could deem tariffs imposed during the Trump administration as illegal, leading to possible reimbursement of around $100 billion in collected tariffs. We analyze the potential market reactions, including how such a reversal might affect stock prices, the dollar, and overall economic uncertainty.

In this edition of Forward Guidance, the hosts discuss the significant challenges facing the U.S. economy, likening the current situation to "Weimar America" as they analyze potential Fed interest rate cuts amid rising deficits and inflation. They also highlight the upcoming Blockworks Digital Asset Summit and the implications of recent macroeconomic data on market speculation.

In this episode of Forward Guidance, Andy Constan discusses the shifting dynamics in fiscal policy and its impact on markets, emphasizing that current fiscal impulses are contractionary rather than expansionary. He highlights the significance of the Federal Reserve's independence amid changes in leadership and the ongoing balance sheet strategy as it navigates potential economic challenges.