Value Investing with Sven Carlin, Ph.D.

Value Investing with Sven Carlin, Ph.D.

@value-investingView on YouTube →

Classifications

Stock Analysis & ValuationIncome & Dividend InvestingCrypto & Digital Assets

Videos (64)

5 Stocks To Buy From Value Investing Quadrant - Jan 2026

5 Stocks To Buy From Value Investing Quadrant - Jan 2026PT17M52S
Jan 16, 2026, 1:01 PMPT17M52S
FinanceTubeWatch Tags
value_investing_quadrantoil_stock_analysisdividend_yieldfree_cash_flow_yieldp_ratio_analysisrecession_riskferf_stockvr_energypetro_brasshpq_stockamazon_stockjan_2026_update
Observed vs Expected
MetricObservedExpected
Views31,7749,630
Likes991452.5
FinanceTubeWatch Generated Description

In this January 2026 update, the host reviews his Value Investing Quadrant and highlights five picks that sit in the low‑risk, high‑reward zone—including a rebound‑potential tech stock, high‑yield oil plays, and several dividend‑rich consumer and hardware companies. Detailed analysis, cash‑flow yields, price‑to‑earnings ratios, and risk factors are linked in the description for viewers who want a deeper dive.

Var Energi Stock Analysis - Oil With 15% Yield!

Var Energi Stock Analysis - Oil With 15% Yield!PT11M28S
Jan 15, 2026, 1:01 PMPT11M28S
FinanceTubeWatch Tags
var_energinorwegian_oilnorwegian_continental_shelfoil_productiondividend_yieldbreak_even_pricefree_cash_flowoil_price_forecast_2026capital_markets_dayexploration_and_productiondebt_riskdividend_cut_risk
Observed vs Expected
MetricObservedExpected
Views20,3269,630
Likes671452.5
FinanceTubeWatch Generated Description

In this video the presenter breaks down Var Energi (VR Energy), a Norwegian oil explorer, evaluating its unusually high 14‑15% dividend yield, low break‑even cost, production outlook, and the impact of oil‑price scenarios on its free‑cash‑flow and dividend sustainability. He highlights the mixed risk‑reward profile—potentially dropping to about a 10% yield if oil stays near $60/barrel, while higher prices could boost payouts—but warns of execution risks, debt refinancing, and governance concerns that could affect future dividends.

20 European Stocks - A Discussion

20 European Stocks - A DiscussionPT19M49S
Jan 13, 2026, 1:00 PMPT19M49S
FinanceTubeWatch Tags
nokian_tyresrubissignifybunzlvonoviavalmetasmltelefonicaferraridino_polskaaldi_polandeuropean_stock_analysisdividend_yieldpe_ratiom_and_a
Observed vs Expected
MetricObservedExpected
Views14,6059,630
Likes568452.5
FinanceTubeWatch Generated Description

In this video the host walks through a crowd‑sourced list of European stocks— from Manium Ice Cream’s stagnant, inflation‑adjusted revenues and spin‑off motives to Bunzl’s slowing margins, Nokian’s post‑Russia rebound, luxury‑yacht maker Italian C‑Group’s ownership concentration, Rubis’s acquisition appeal, and Vonovia’s high‑debt balance sheet— providing quick snapshots of each company’s growth, dividend yield, and valuation. He concludes that many of these “cheap‑looking” names hide structural risks, urging viewers to scrutinize revenue trends, cash‑flow generation, and balance‑sheet strength before adding them to a portfolio.

Why is Sven Here?

Why is Sven Here?PT12M47S
Jan 12, 2026, 1:01 PMPT12M47S
FinanceTubeWatch Tags
sven_investorvalue_investinginvestment_research_platformyoutube_finance_contenttransparency_investigationssubscription_pricingeuro_to_dollar_performancesamsung_stockadobe_stockoil_stocksbloomberg_experienceseeking_alpha
Observed vs Expected
MetricObservedExpected
Views7,7579,630
Likes521452.5
FinanceTubeWatch Generated Description

In this video Sven responds to viewer comments about his investment performance, the level of transparency he provides on YouTube, and why he runs a paid research platform that bundles years of stock analysis, portfolio tracking, and educational content. He also outlines his investing background, explains his value‑investing philosophy, and emphasizes that the free channel is meant for education while the subscription service offers deeper, hands‑on guidance for those who want it.

$200k S&P 500 Put Hedge Loss for 2025! Hedge Again in 2026?

$200k S&P 500 Put Hedge Loss for 2025! Hedge Again in 2026?PT8M39S
Jan 11, 2026, 1:01 PMPT8M39S
FinanceTubeWatch Tags
sp500_put_hedgeoptions_hedgingportfolio_insurancesp500_2025sp500_2026out_of_the_money_putshedging_cost_analysismarket_crash_protectioninvestment_psychologyrisk_managementmichael_burry_put_tradeai_spending_bubbleinterest_rate_riskinflation_risklong_term_wealth
Observed vs Expected
MetricObservedExpected
Views11,0859,630
Likes373452.5
FinanceTubeWatch Generated Description

In this video Sven breaks down Juan’s $200,000 loss on a 2025 S&P 500 put hedge, explains how option pricing (e.g., 3‑5 % of portfolio for full or partial protection) determines the trade‑off between limiting downside losses and sacrificing upside gains, and explores cost‑effective strategies such as out‑of‑the‑money puts for future hedging. He then tackles the key question for 2026—whether investors should pay insurance premiums now or accept market risk—by weighing personal risk tolerance, long‑term wealth goals, and the impact of hedging costs on overall returns.

JPM Guide To Markets 2026 - Stocks, Economy, Inflation, Rates, Debt...

JPM Guide To Markets 2026 - Stocks, Economy, Inflation, Rates, Debt...PT8M44S
Jan 10, 2026, 1:01 PMPT8M44S
FinanceTubeWatch Tags
jpm_guide_to_markets_2026sp500_performanceus_inflationus_unemploymenttreasury_yield_10yrequity_valuationsai_investmentconsumer_credit_delinquenciestariffs_and_deficitsemerging_market_outlookreit_performanceprivate_credit_risk
Observed vs Expected
MetricObservedExpected
Views10,7829,630
Likes500452.5
FinanceTubeWatch Generated Description

In this video the presenter breaks down JPMorgan’s 2026 Guide to Markets, highlighting the firm’s optimistic forecasts for global growth and double‑digit equity gains while warning that current U.S. valuations are near historic highs and real returns may turn negative. He stresses that investors should focus on dividend‑paying, cash‑flow‑rich assets and build a margin of safety to weather potential shocks rather than relying on average‑market predictions.

4 Stocks You Want To Buy! ENI, TGT, MELI, WHR

4 Stocks You Want To Buy! ENI, TGT, MELI, WHRPT13M52S
Jan 9, 2026, 1:00 PMPT13M52S
FinanceTubeWatch Tags
enitarget_corpmercado_librewhirlpool_corpoil_majordividend_yieldshareholder_yieldbuybacksretail_sectorecommercefintechlatin_americap_e_ratio
Observed vs Expected
MetricObservedExpected
Views19,7059,630
Likes795452.5
FinanceTubeWatch Generated Description

In this video the host breaks down four potential buys—Italy’s oil giant ENI, retailer Target, Latin‑American e‑commerce/fintech leader MercadoLibre, and appliance maker Whirlpool—examining each company’s dividend yield, valuation metrics and growth outlook. He points out ENI’s attractive 6% yield but price‑risk, Target’s low P/E marred by retail headwinds, MercadoLibre’s explosive expansion and high‑multiple risk, and Whirlpool’s questionable capital allocation, urging investors to weigh these factors before adding any of the stocks to their portfolios.

Boom Or Crash In 2026? Answer: The Buffett Way!

Boom Or Crash In 2026? Answer: The Buffett Way!PT10M6S
Jan 8, 2026, 1:02 PMPT10M6S
FinanceTubeWatch Tags
market_crash_2026oil_price_increase_factorsvalue_investingmargin_of_safetywarren_buffett_strategycharlie_munger_quotesp500_performancearcher_daniels_midlandoil_market_iran_conflictvenezuela_oil_supplyindex_fund_recommendationliquidity_and_hedging
Observed vs Expected
MetricObservedExpected
Views12,9479,630
Likes578452.5
FinanceTubeWatch Generated Description

punctuation.The video examines the uncertainty of a potential boom or crash by 2026 and argues that the only reliable way to thrive in either scenario is to follow a Buffett‑style value‑investing approach that emphasizes margin of safety, liquidity, and patient, long‑term perspective rather than trying to forecast market direction. It also breaks down ten reasons oil prices could rise, demonstrates how buying stocks at low earnings multiples (like the Oxycam example) can generate superior returns, and concludes that most investors are better served by low‑cost index funds while waiting for truly attractive opportunities.

CAL-MAINE FOODS NASDAQ: CALM STOCK

CAL-MAINE FOODS NASDAQ: CALM STOCKPT14M27S
Jan 7, 2026, 1:01 PMPT14M27S
FinanceTubeWatch Tags
calmaine_foodscalm_stockegg_pricesavian_fludividend_yieldearnings_reportvertical_integrationcommodity_cyclicalsus_egg_marketwarren_buffett_investingnet_profit_margingross_profit_marginnvidia_comparisoninflation_impactshare_buybacks
Observed vs Expected
MetricObservedExpected
Views19,4769,630
Likes819452.5
FinanceTubeWatch Generated Description

.The video breaks down Cal‑Maine Foods (NASDAQ: CALM), noting its 10% dividend yield, a low 3.15 P/E, and unusually high 28.9% net profit margin during recent egg‑price spikes, while emphasizing how the cyclical egg market directly affects earnings, margins, and dividend sustainability. The presenter advises treating the current 52‑week low as a potential entry for long‑term, low‑debt investors, but warns that future returns hinge on average egg‑price trends and the risk of dividend cuts.

When Will AI Replace My Investment Management Job?

When Will AI Replace My Investment Management Job?PT5M30S
Jan 5, 2026, 1:02 PMPT5M30S
FinanceTubeWatch Tags
ai_investment_managementchatgptgoogle_geminivalue_investingstock_market_researchai_finance_toolscapital_allocationdecision_making_ailow_risk_stockscopper_producerscharlie_mungerai_job_displacement
Observed vs Expected
MetricObservedExpected
Views6,8849,630
Likes332452.5
FinanceTubeWatch Generated Description

spaces.The video examines how AI tools such as ChatGPT and Gemini can accelerate public‑data research for investment managers but cannot replace the critical judgment, creativity, and moral decision‑making that drive portfolio strategy. The creator concludes that AI will automate routine analysis and boost productivity, yet the core strategic and discretionary aspects of investing remain human‑driven, keeping their job safe—for now.

Dividends vs. Buybacks!

Dividends vs. Buybacks!PT7M11S
Jan 1, 2026, 1:00 PMPT7M11S
FinanceTubeWatch Tags
dividend_taxshare_buybackswarren_buffettberkshire_hathawaysp500value_investingcapital_gains_taxcorporate_buyback_trendsec_rule_10bstock_price_manipulationapple_buybacksgeneral_electric_buybacksbank_of_america_buybackspfizer_buybacksexxon_buybacks
Observed vs Expected
MetricObservedExpected
Views9,0449,630
Likes523452.5
FinanceTubeWatch Generated Description

In this video Sven tackles the heated debate over dividends versus stock buybacks, explaining how taxes, timing, and price levels determine whether either tactic adds real shareholder value or merely benefits selling insiders. Using historical examples from companies like GE, AIG, and Berkshire Hathaway, he argues that most buybacks today are value‑destructive and only a minority create genuine long‑term gains.

Investing Risks For 2026! Manage Crash, Flows, Politics....

Investing Risks For 2026! Manage Crash, Flows, Politics....PT10M12S
Dec 31, 2025, 1:00 PMPT10M12S
FinanceTubeWatch Tags
investing_risks_2026sp500_market_capitalizationstock_market_crash_riskbuybacks_valuationforeign_capital_flowsjapan_1980s_asset_bubbleai_spending_economic_impactgovernment_debt_to_gdpfed_interest_rate_policyinflation_riskvalue_investing_strategyowner_earnings_margin_of_safetyput_option_hedgeetf_investmentspolitical_risk_us
Observed vs Expected
MetricObservedExpected
Views15,4009,630
Likes611452.5
FinanceTubeWatch Generated Description

In this video, we explore the potential investing risks for 2026, highlighting the importance of risk management amidst a seemingly unsustainable market. The discussion covers market capitalization, foreign flows, political factors, and strategies for positioning your portfolio to navigate potential downturns while maintaining a focus on value investing.

Buffett Retiring - Seth Klarman Article

Buffett Retiring - Seth Klarman ArticlePT6M15S
Dec 30, 2025, 1:01 PMPT6M15S
FinanceTubeWatch Tags
warren_buffettseth_klarmanvalue_investingcompounding_returnsefficient_market_hypothesisstock_buybackssp500bitcoinlong_term_investinginvestment_philosophymarket_recessioncontrarian_strategy
Observed vs Expected
MetricObservedExpected
Views12,1699,630
Likes465452.5
FinanceTubeWatch Generated Description

In this video, the presenter shares insights on Seth Klarman's article about Warren Buffett, emphasizing the key lessons from Buffett's long-term investment strategies and his impressive performance over six decades. The discussion highlights the importance of value investing, patience, and the mindset required to thrive in fluctuating markets, encouraging viewers to reflect on their own investment approaches.

My Value Investing Performance in 2025

My Value Investing Performance in 2025PT5M45S
Dec 29, 2025, 1:01 PMPT5M45S
FinanceTubeWatch Tags
value_investingportfolio_performance_2025pe_ratio_9margin_of_safetycash_reserve_80_percentdividend_yield_5_percentinvesting_psychologylong_term_investmentresearch_platformeuro_vs_dollarnvidia_comparisongold_performancecompounding_returnswealth_accumulation
Observed vs Expected
MetricObservedExpected
Views7,4489,630
Likes372452.5
FinanceTubeWatch Generated Description

In this video, the presenter discusses his value investing performance for 2025 and emphasizes the importance of risk management and patience in investment strategies. He explains the principles of value investing, highlighting the significance of a solid foundation in earnings and dividends over chasing quick stock gains, while inviting viewers to explore his research platform for further insights.

Commodities For 2026 (Oil, Gas, Gold, Silver, PPGM, Copper, Lithium, Iron, Food, Fertilizer)

Commodities For 2026 (Oil, Gas, Gold, Silver, PPGM, Copper, Lithium, Iron, Food, Fertilizer)PT20M
Dec 28, 2025, 1:01 PMPT20M
FinanceTubeWatch Tags
oilnatural_gascoalcoppergoldsilverplatinum_group_metalslithiumnickeliron_orefoodfertilizerchinashellrio_tinto
Observed vs Expected
MetricObservedExpected
Views27,2669,630
Likes1,202452.5
FinanceTubeWatch Generated Description

In this video, the host offers a detailed analysis of commodities for 2026, discussing key players and market trends in sectors including oil, gas, gold, silver, copper, and food. With a focus on value investing and managing risk, the host shares strategies for navigating the cyclical nature of commodities and emphasizes the importance of timing and market conditions for maximizing returns.

Value Investing Framework For 2026

Value Investing Framework For 2026PT6M34S
Dec 27, 2025, 1:01 PMPT6M34S
FinanceTubeWatch Tags
value_investing2026_market_outlookhigh_valuations_us_europedividend_yield_strategiesabsolute_vs_relative_returnsai_cloud_technologys_and_p_500_exposureemerging_market_challengessmall_cap_valuewarren_buffett_cash_positionbitcoin_as_alternativearcher_daniels_midland_stock
Observed vs Expected
MetricObservedExpected
Views14,3459,630
Likes551452.5
FinanceTubeWatch Generated Description

In this insightful video, the speaker examines the current state of value investing as we approach 2026, emphasizing the challenges posed by high market valuations and the scarcity of viable investment alternatives. Highlighting the importance of patience and in-depth research, he encourages viewers to focus on absolute returns, particularly in overlooked small-cap opportunities in Europe, while maintaining a long-term perspective for potential success in value investing.

How To Find Great Businesses & More...

How To Find Great Businesses & More...PT6M3S
Dec 25, 2025, 1:01 PMPT6M3S
FinanceTubeWatch Tags
warren_buffettcharlie_mungerberkshire_hathawayalibabaai_stockscloud_computingenergy_investmentvalue_investingforeign_marketseurope_investmentsus_dollar_riskreturn_on_invested_capitalmargin_of_safetytom_bonan
Observed vs Expected
MetricObservedExpected
Views6,9809,630
Likes374452.5
FinanceTubeWatch Generated Description

In this informative video, the host discusses strategies for identifying great businesses and evaluating their investment potential, using Berkshire Hathaway as a primary example. He emphasizes the importance of understanding value, price, and expected returns while also addressing the complexities of investing in foreign markets and emerging technologies.

REITs & REAL ESTATE INVESTING 2026

REITs & REAL ESTATE INVESTING 2026PT6M7S
Dec 23, 2025, 1:01 PMPT6M7S
FinanceTubeWatch Tags
reitsreal_estate_investinginterest_rate_trendstreasury_yieldwelltowervanguard_reit_fundcommercial_real_estateitaly_property_marketnetherlands_rent_marketeurope_inflationmortgage_rates2026_investment_outlook
Observed vs Expected
MetricObservedExpected
Views11,2709,630
Likes457452.5
FinanceTubeWatch Generated Description

In this video, we explore the current landscape of REITs and real estate investing as we approach 2026, highlighting the challenges posed by rising interest rates and competition within the sector. The speaker shares insights on personal investing strategies, emphasizing careful evaluation of properties and the importance of long-term value in real estate amid changing market conditions.

Bonds Look Ugly for 2026, But Buffett Loves T-Bills...

Bonds Look Ugly for 2026, But Buffett Loves T-Bills...6:02
Dec 22, 2025, 6:01 PM6:02
FinanceTubeWatch Tags
bonds_2026us_treasurieswarren_buffettdutch_pension_fundshigh_yield_corporate_bondsbond_yieldsinterest_rate_forecasteuro_dollar_exchange_rateswiss_francjapanese_yenemerging_market_currenciesasset_allocation
Observed vs Expected
MetricObservedExpected
Views9,7419,630
Likes370452.5
FinanceTubeWatch Generated Description

In this video, we analyze the bleak outlook for bonds in 2026 while highlighting Warren Buffett's strong preference for short-term US treasuries. With shifting strategies from pension funds and a broader move towards riskier assets, we explore the implications for the bond market and whether bonds can still offer value in today's investment landscape.

Emerging Markets Might Not Be As Cheap As People Think (Edited Version :) )

Emerging Markets Might Not Be As Cheap As People Think (Edited Version :) )6:07
Dec 22, 2025, 7:01 AM6:07
FinanceTubeWatch Tags
emerging_marketsiShares_em_etftaiwan_semiconductor_manufacturingtsmcchina_riskrio_tintooil_price_cycleapple_exposure_emjd_comkazakhstan_stocksvalue_investingcommodities_outlookemerging_market_valuation
Observed vs Expected
MetricObservedExpected
Views5,3049,630
Likes243452.5
FinanceTubeWatch Generated Description

In this video, the speaker discusses the complexities of investing in emerging markets, emphasizing that while they may seem cheap and promising due to population growth and economic potential, the actual returns have often not lived up to expectations. He shares insights on specific risks, portfolio characteristics, and alternative strategies for gaining exposure to emerging markets without direct investment.

Moral Hazard - Topic For The Next Decade!

Moral Hazard - Topic For The Next Decade!10:22
Dec 20, 2025, 1:00 PM10:22
FinanceTubeWatch Tags
moral_hazardfinancial_bubblezero_interest_ratesmoney_printinghigh_debtus_government_debtcentral_bank_policysp500_valuationai_bubblecrypto_assetsjapan_economydaimler_bondsbank_of_japanhousing_affordabilitypension_funds
Observed vs Expected
MetricObservedExpected
Views9,2559,630
Likes400452.5
FinanceTubeWatch Generated Description

In this video, the speaker explores the concept of moral hazard within the context of prolonged financial exuberance, low interest rates, and increasing government debt, warning of the potential consequences for investors and the economy. He emphasizes the importance of understanding valuations and being strategic in investment decisions, especially as the current environment evolves.

European Stocks For 2026!

European Stocks For 2026!10:19
Dec 19, 2025, 1:00 PM10:19
FinanceTubeWatch Tags
european_equitieseuro_stoxx_50value_investingdividend_yieldasmltotal_energiessapsiemensbasfstellantisvonoviaeuropean_defense_aerospaceeurope_vs_us2026_market_forecast
Observed vs Expected
MetricObservedExpected
Views21,7799,630
Likes715452.5
FinanceTubeWatch Generated Description

In this video, we explore the European stock market landscape for 2026, highlighting opportunities for value investing and assessing the performance of key European companies. Join us as we analyze market trends, valuations, and potential growth areas, while considering whether European equities hold a competitive edge over U.S. stocks.

Two Scenarios & One Certainty For S&P 500 in 2026!

Two Scenarios & One Certainty For S&P 500 in 2026!11:39
Dec 18, 2025, 1:00 PM11:39
FinanceTubeWatch Tags
sp500_2026_outlookus_stock_marketfed_interest_rate_policyai_sector_exposurenvidia_stockoracle_stockbuyback_activitylow_dividend_yieldrussell_2000_performancepassive_investment_flowsvaluation_multiple_40warren_buffett_strategy
Observed vs Expected
MetricObservedExpected
Views9,5269,630
Likes393452.5
FinanceTubeWatch Generated Description

In this video, we explore two potential scenarios for the S&P 500 in 2026—one bullish and one bearish—while highlighting a key certainty regarding the current low dividend yields. Join us as we analyze critical factors influencing the market, including interest rates, earnings growth, and the impact of AI, to provide a comprehensive outlook for investors.

What do you believe about today's market? Buy The Dip? Crash Ahead?

What do you believe about today's market? Buy The Dip? Crash Ahead?7:20
Dec 17, 2025, 1:00 PM7:20
FinanceTubeWatch Tags
sp500nvidia_earningsbitcoin_hardware_walletfed_rate_cutsbuy_the_dipmarket_crashvalue_investingtsmcvanguardsap_stockaustralia_investorssouth_africa_bitcoinkenyan_bitcoin_use
Observed vs Expected
MetricObservedExpected
Views9,4889,630
Likes429452.5
FinanceTubeWatch Generated Description

In this video, we dive into the varied perspectives on the current market dynamics, discussing the ongoing debate between "buying the dip" and concerns about a potential crash. Through engaging comments and insights, we explore market trends, investment risks, and the importance of maintaining a value-driven approach in fluctuating conditions.

Li Lu's Munger Institute Interview

Li Lu's Munger Institute Interview5:50
Dec 16, 2025, 1:01 PM5:50
FinanceTubeWatch Tags
li_lucharlie_mungerwarren_buffettvalue_investingmargin_of_safetybydelon_muskglobal_investingasia_investmentdeveloping_marketslong_term_compoundinginvestment_philosophymunger_institute
Observed vs Expected
MetricObservedExpected
Views9,4679,630
Likes373452.5
FinanceTubeWatch Generated Description

In this insightful interview, Li Lu discusses the fundamentals of value investing, emphasizing the importance of patience, a sufficient safety margin, and investing within one's circle of competence. He illustrates these concepts with examples, including the long-term success of BYD, and highlights the unique opportunities that arise in global markets, urging investors to seek overlooked potential and maintain a long-term perspective.

Greggs LON: GRG Stock Analysis (UK Stocks)

Greggs LON: GRG Stock Analysis (UK Stocks)5:19
Dec 15, 2025, 1:00 PM5:19
FinanceTubeWatch Tags
greggs_stock_analysisuk_bakerydividend_yieldlike_for_like_salesstore_expansioncost_inflationprivate_equity_investoractivist_investorsilchestercapex_distributionuk_stock_marketvalue_investing_uk
Observed vs Expected
MetricObservedExpected
Views9,3979,630
Likes367452.5
FinanceTubeWatch Generated Description

In this video, we analyze Greggs (GRG) stock, exploring its solid growth plans, decent dividend yield, and strong cash flows amid economic challenges in the UK. Despite temporary fluctuations in earnings due to inflation, the company's robust strategy for expansion and management of cost pressures make it a potential buy for investors looking for value in the UK market.