Excess Returns

Excess Returns

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Macro & Economic AnalysisInvestment Strategies & Portfolio ConstructionTechnology & AI

Videos (46)

You’re Missing the Most Important Lesson | 50 Great Investors Share the One Thing They’d Teach You

You’re Missing the Most Important Lesson | 50 Great Investors Share the One Thing They’d Teach You1:19:38
Dec 1, 2025, 2:04 PM1:19:38
FinanceTubeWatch Tags
investing_philosophywealth_preservationdiversificationpassive_investingbase_ratesfinancial_literacybehavioral_financeportfolio_managementlong_term_investingroth_iramarket_psychologyavoid_market_timinginvestment_diary
Observed vs Expected
MetricObservedExpected
Views7,9107,893
Likes219239
FinanceTubeWatch Generated Description

In this insightful video, 50 renowned investors share key lessons they've learned throughout their investing journeys, emphasizing that successful investing is more about preserving and growing wealth than chasing quick riches. The episode distills their advice into memorable takeaways, encouraging viewers to focus on their individual strategies, understand the long-term nature of investing, and remain mindful of the emotional aspects related to market decisions.

The Job Loss is the Plan | Ben Hunt on the Risks of World War AI

The Job Loss is the Plan | Ben Hunt on the Risks of World War AI1:03:27
Nov 28, 2025, 3:43 PM1:03:27
FinanceTubeWatch Tags
world_war_aiai_capexai_data_centersben_huntepsilon_theoryperciant_propanopticaus_governmentchina_ai_competitionmanhattan_project_aijob_displacementtechno_oligarchspeter_thielsam_altmanelon_musk
Observed vs Expected
MetricObservedExpected
Views24,6837,893
Likes571239
FinanceTubeWatch Generated Description

In this insightful discussion, Ben Hunt explores the impending economic and societal consequences of a government-driven push for AI development, likening it to a WWII-scale mobilization. He warns that the massive capital reallocation into AI not only threatens jobs but also risks creating shortages in essential resources, leading to inflation and a diminishing consumer economy.

The Real Estate Bust Was the Plan | Louis-Vincent Gave on China's Brute Force Growth Strategy

The Real Estate Bust Was the Plan | Louis-Vincent Gave on China's Brute Force Growth Strategy1:04:16
Nov 26, 2025, 1:41 PM1:04:16
FinanceTubeWatch Tags
china_economic_policyus_china_tech_warsemiconductor_embargoreal_estate_bust_chinabydev_market_chinabalance_sheet_recessionderegulation_chinacheap_electricity_chinaai_competition_china_usdeepseek_aiquen_ai
Observed vs Expected
MetricObservedExpected
Views103,9957,893
Likes2,900239
FinanceTubeWatch Generated Description

In this episode, Louis-Vincent Gave discusses China's aggressive growth strategy following economic pressures from the U.S., emphasizing the shift in investments from real estate to industrial innovation. Gave argues that China’s competitive landscape has evolved dramatically, positioning it for increased global dominance, particularly in electric vehicles and technology, while highlighting misconceptions about its economic structure.

The Pattern Is Staggering | Mary Ann Bartels on Why This Bubble Is Just Getting Started

The Pattern Is Staggering | Mary Ann Bartels on Why This Bubble Is Just Getting Started55:20
Nov 23, 2025, 2:47 PM55:20
FinanceTubeWatch Tags
secular_bull_markettech_bubbleai_capital_expendituresinterest_rate_riskvaluation_multiplesus_market_concentrationalgorithmic_trading_volatilitynon_us_secular_bulljohn_templeton_quotesmary_ann_bartelssanctuary_wealth_reportgreen_wealth_managementnvidia_earningsnasdaq_100_growth
Observed vs Expected
MetricObservedExpected
Views7,3157,893
Likes239239
FinanceTubeWatch Generated Description

In this insightful episode of "Excess Returns," Mary Ann Bartels, Chief Investment Strategist at Sanctuary Wealth, discusses the staggering patterns in the market that indicate we're still in the early stages of a bubble. She provides a detailed analysis of technological advancements and their impacts on productivity and profitability, while sharing her projections for the S&P by 2026, emphasizing the importance of staying invested during potentially volatile times ahead.

The Risk Isn't Where You Think | Carl Kaufman on AI Capex, Private Credit and the Hidden Bond Play

The Risk Isn't Where You Think | Carl Kaufman on AI Capex, Private Credit and the Hidden Bond Play55:41
Nov 21, 2025, 2:43 PM55:41
FinanceTubeWatch Tags
high_yield_marketinvestment_grade_qualityprivate_creditleveraged_loan_marketcollateralized_loan_obligationfixed_income_cycleinterest_rate_cyclecredit_cyclefed_policyai_capex_financingnvidia_financingcarl_kaufmanaustere_waste_capital_management
FinanceTubeWatch Generated Description

In this insightful conversation, Carl Kaufman discusses the current landscape of the fixed income market, emphasizing the surprising quality dynamics in high yield and investment grade bonds, alongside the evolution of private credit. He also shares his investment philosophy and strategies, highlighting the importance of understanding economic cycles and the unique risks associated with the recent tech-driven debt expansions.

The Bubble You Can't Short | Rob Arnott on What You Can Do Instead

The Bubble You Can't Short | Rob Arnott on What You Can Do Instead1:00:28
Nov 19, 2025, 5:17 PM1:00:28
FinanceTubeWatch Tags
bubble_definitionai_capex_spendingnvidiaopenaisam_altmanresearch_affiliates_rafivalue_investingtech_disruptiondotcom_bubble_lessonsmagnificent_7emerging_markets_valueexcess_returns_podcast
FinanceTubeWatch Generated Description

In this insightful discussion, Rob Arnott examines the concept of market bubbles, emphasizing that bubbles often arise from implausible growth assumptions and narratives that capture investor attention. He warns against short-selling bubbles due to their potential to persist longer than anticipated and shares practical advice for navigating the current market landscape by considering diversification strategies and the importance of focusing on companies' economic fundamentals rather than purely on growth narratives.

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