Outlier Trading

David Hunter outlines his bullish outlook in the final phase of the market melt‑up, maintaining 2025 targets of 9,500 for the S&P 500, 65,000 for the Dow, 32,000 for the Nasdaq and aggressive price forecasts for silver, gold, copper and other commodities, while acknowledging short‑term pullbacks and the role of unprecedented Fed liquidity. He also examines the catalysts that could fuel a parabolic move—lower rates, dollar weakness, deregulation, geopolitical risks, and potential policy shifts—and explains why timing the top is less important than following sentiment and upside momentum.

In this video the host dissects the $50 million catastrophe suffered by “Captain Condor,” who piled on a 90,000‑contract short iron‑condor trade and doubled down using a martingale betting system to chase seemingly high‑probability returns. He explains how overly narrow spreads, massive position sizing, and a failure to account for tail‑risk events turned a modest‑profit strategy into a devastating loss, warning viewers to be skeptical of “easy‑income” promises in options trading.

After you enter an options trade, the video warns against four common pitfalls: failing to set P&L management in advance, over‑valuing single trade outcomes, concentrating solely on realized profit/loss, and engaging in hyper‑active trade adjustments that inflate costs. It offers practical steps—such as pre‑defining exit criteria, logging trade rationale versus results, and monitoring commission friction—to keep your strategy disciplined and improve long‑term performance.

In this video, the presenter discusses four effective strategies for trading options in low implied volatility (IV) environments, highlighting that low VIX does not reflect volatility across the entire market. By focusing on the relationship between implied and realized volatility, finding catalysts, exploring earnings plays, and analyzing volatility surfaces, traders can uncover opportunities even when overall market volatility appears low.

In this informative video, the host breaks down the differences between VIX and VXX, two key volatility products essential for active traders. Viewers will learn how to effectively incorporate these tools into their portfolios, along with the risks and nuances associated with each, enhancing their trading strategies.

In this episode of Meme Stock Watch, we delve into GameStop's latest developments, including its earnings and the intriguing insights shared by the community. Join us as we analyze the company’s unique position in the meme stock phenomenon and explore potential future catalysts for its stock price.

In this episode of the Outlier Trading Podcast Unplugged, hosts Eric and Shrey dive into the fundamental aspects of profit mechanisms and their critical role in effective trading strategies. They explore the gap between theoretical knowledge and practical application, emphasizing the importance of understanding how trades truly make money to enhance trading confidence and decision-making.

In this video, the trader shares a successful strategy for capitalizing on the Fed's rate cut announcement by executing a quick futures trade on the Russell, resulting in a $12,000 profit within 90 minutes. The trader explains their thought process, including the significance of historical probabilities and market positioning leading up to the event, showcasing how a clear plan and effective management can yield impressive returns with minimal risk.

In this video, we debunk five common myths about options selling that can severely impact your trading returns. By exposing misconceptions about volatility, risk management, and win rates, we provide essential frameworks to enhance your trading strategies and avoid costly mistakes.

In this video, the Outlier Options Trading Beginner Lab explores the critical topic of trade sizing and risk management for beginner traders. The host engages viewers with interactive quizzes and discussions to clarify misconceptions about trading strategies, win rates, and the importance of realistic expectations in options trading.

Join us for a live stock market analysis where we break down the latest trends and key trading strategies. In this session, we'll perform a quick market overview, explore safe option selling techniques, and dive into the significant market events affecting stocks like Nvidia and Palantir.

In this video from the Outlier Options Trading Beginner Lab, we explore the stark difference between what beginner traders want from options trading and the reality of the market. The discussion highlights common misconceptions about returns, risk tolerance, and trading strategies, emphasizing the importance of aligning expectations with market realities for successful trading.

In this video, I share the essential software and tools I use for trading options, breaking down my workflow into key categories such as education, research, and execution. Join me as I provide insights into both popular platforms and the lesser-known resources that shape my trading strategy, highlighting their applications and value.

In this episode of the Outlier Podcast, former Jane Street trader Agustin Lebron shares insights on trading, emphasizing that it’s not the easy path to wealth that many envision. He cautions listeners about the competitive nature of financial markets and stresses the importance of understanding one's edge and decision-making processes in trading.

Join us for a live stock market analysis where we delve into the latest FOMC meeting outcomes and GameStop's earnings report, offering insights and strategies for navigating today's market. Tune in as we explore key trends, trader reactions, and the overall market landscape, emphasizing risk management and trading opportunities.

In this video, the host shares an in-depth analysis of a $40,000 trade in RGTI options, detailing the strategic reasoning behind entering long puts and the subsequent management of the trade. Viewers will learn about key concepts in trade management, market behavior analysis, and how disciplined strategy execution led to a successful outcome with a substantial profit.

In this video, discover how a simple adjustment in managing short puts can significantly enhance your trading performance, particularly when employing delta bands for better P&L optimization. The presenter explores various management protocols in SPY, highlighting the advantages of rebalancing deltas as the underlying asset fluctuates, ultimately demonstrating a nearly 50% performance improvement over traditional methods.

Join Outlier Trading for a mid-week stock market update where key topics such as the VIX, recent Fed comments, and the latest employment data are discussed. The focus also centers on notable stocks including Nvidia and Tesla, with insights into market consolidation and trading strategies amidst current volatility.

In this episode of The Outlier Podcast, Doomberg joins hosts to discuss significant trends in energy and technology, particularly the evolving impacts of AI and cryptocurrencies on the market. The conversation delves into the current state of commodities, insights on the MicroStrategy's financial strategies, and the geopolitical implications of the ongoing war in Ukraine.

In this video, we break down the concept of charm, also known as delta decay, which is crucial for traders to understand how the delta of options changes over time. By using practical examples and visual aids, we illustrate how charm affects option pricing and strategy, shedding light on why this often-overlooked Greek can significantly impact trading decisions.

Join us for the inaugural session of the Outlier Options Trading Beginner Lab as we explore the fascinating world of options trading, focusing on beginner-friendly concepts and market insights. In this interactive quiz-driven stream, we discuss various trading strategies, the behavior of options Greeks, and the nuances of volatility, all while engaging with a vibrant community of traders.

In this video, we explore the crucial steps to building confidence in options trading, emphasizing the importance of mastering market fundamentals and understanding profit mechanisms. Learn how to overcome common pitfalls and develop a solid trading plan for long-term success, while also recognizing that true confidence stems from skill development and thorough research.

In this episode of Outlier Options Trading Basics, the host discusses the completion of the miniseries on fundamental trading concepts and emphasizes the importance of focusing on the trading process rather than just outcomes. The session includes a quiz, a discussion on future trading strategies, and an interactive Q&A segment that encourages participants to engage and clarify their trading approaches.

Join Andrew Mack on this episode of The Outlier Podcast as he dives deep into retail options trading, discussing strategies, market dynamics, and the evolving landscape of trading behaviors. Tune in to learn about market on close effects, the importance of understanding market mechanics, and insights for both beginner and intermediate traders looking to enhance their trading skills.

In this video, the host shares essential options trade management rules that could significantly enhance long-term trading success. He emphasizes the importance of treating trades as part of a structured process rather than focusing on individual outcomes and explains the need to understand the specific profit mechanisms of different strategies before implementing management techniques.

In this episode of Meme Stock Watch, the host analyzes the current state of GameStop and its correlation with Bitcoin as both are impacted by broader market trends. He discusses the implications of potential market corrections, the intrinsic value of GameStop, and the role of swaps in stock price behavior while encouraging viewers to share their thoughts on the ongoing situation.